Sunday, February 9, 2020

High wages reduce unemployment

While some people believe that raising the minimum wage increases unemployment, many experts disagree, and demonstrate the contrary view: that higher wages reduce unemployment.  (James Galbraith, for one, devotes a large part of a chapter to this in his book Predator State.)

The more liberal economists--concerned about inequality--claim that increasing the minimum wage as they recommend reduces unemployment because:

1) Highly unequal wages cause people to put more effort into competing to attain the few better jobs, than accepting the poorly paid ones.  High inequality and High Unemployment are two sides of the same coin, argues Galbraith.

2) Galbraith points to differences between northern and southern Europe.  In Northern Europe there is a long history of trade unions and low inequality--and also low unemployment.  In Southern Europe, there is a long history of high inequality, and high unemployment.

3) Raising the minimum wage puts relatively more money in the hands of people who spend all they receive, thereby maximizing the Keynesian multiplier.  The effect is economic expansion which creates more jobs.  The current low wage structure SUPRESSES job growth by retarding economic growth.

4) Along the lines suggested by one person in a recent NPR program, neither the typical supply nor demand curves for labor reflect the true labor "marketplace."  Labor is something very special and doesn't fit commodity models well at all.  In a typical commodity market, consumers can choose to consume A, or in many cases substitute nothing or B instead.  In a "labor market" labor "producers" (who are normaly "consumers") don't have much choice.  (Some do, but not most.)  If the labor-power isn't used, it's lost forever, which is a huge loss to the potential laborer.  Meanwhile, certain kinds of employer can choose not to hire workers, but others have no choice.  Bankers also have considerable influence over whether jobs are created or not.

Ultimately, the uniqueness of labor led John Maynard Keynes to write his great book The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money.  However, traditionally conservative economists argued that Keynesian theory didn't have microfoundations, so they discarded it and have subsequently created a succession of theories that have all failed miserably to account for real world events (such as Real Business Cycle theory).  See Sweetwater Economics.  Meanwhile, Hiksian economics was re-branded as Keynesian and is widely used, and the underlying principle in Saltwater Economics.  But the real Keynesian economics is even more profound, as now developed further by Minsky and Post Keynesian economics.

Steve Keen has an excellent discussion of how neoclassical economic models don't apply to labor in Chapter 6 of Debunking Economics Revised and Expanded version.  The marginalist commodity supply and demand model itself is invalid anyway for technical reasons he discusses in earlier chapters.  But it especially doesn't fit labor for reasons such as these:

a) the labor supply curve can fall backwards, showing more employment with less wages, rather than the less as neoclassical  theory generally assumes.

b) when employers have greater power than workers, which is almost always, they are unable to compete fairly which the neoclassical model assumes.  Jamie Galbraith says flatly in Predator State: there is no labor market.  It's more like the labor slaughterhouse.  Standard economic theory itself says this tendency needs to be reversed with mechanisms like employee unions, so that employees have negotiating power equal to that of employers, in order for "free market" conditions extolled by pretty supply and demand curves to even apply.

c) labor market actors cannot be aggregated as required for neoclassical analysis because demand (employers) is non-independent of demand (workers).  Instead, both are related, as suggested by the simplified Keynesian analysis of item (1) above.  When workers have more money, they will spend more, creating the support and need for more jobs.

d) Most workers can't freely choose between leisure and work, as the model assumes.  Therefore the
supply curve is not only constrained, instead tending toward zero, it tends back up a lower wages, as in
item (a)

e) The model assumes a 2-sided competition between workers and employers.  In reality, there is at least one more actor involved: bankers.  Bankers make the loans that make it possible for employers to even think of creating jobs in most cases, and they represent a third divergent interest.  They may have more or less money, and if they can get away with it, they may try to constrain the employer in what kinds of offerings can be made, tying the hands of the employer, who have have to decline offers he would otherwise accept, even at the expense of having a business at all (and thereby making use of his own labor-power) if the demands of the
banker can't be met.

f) Also in order to work, neoclassical economics assumes a particular kind of benevolent pre-existing
distribution of wealth.  The ultimate claim of neoclassical economics is that markets are welfare-maximizing.  But the irony is, they only work if a benevolent distribution of wealth already exists.  Keen gives an academic reference but it's easy to understand intuitively.  If we're all rich, everything is going to work out fine, otherwise not.

5) Speaking of Denmark, the experience of Denmark shows that, In the long run, it pays to push for high wages.  Capitalists will find some way to make money anyway with higher value products and services, there will be even fuller employement, and everyone wins.  Only bottom feeder type capitalists hope to win by driving up demand by lowering labor costs endlessly.  Those bottom feeder capitalists are the ones that now run the USA, and currently running it into the ground.  Something like Denmark, with high wages, high employment, high statisfaction, and high quality products, is the way to go.  Galbraith speaks with great passion about this.


*****

After a long argument with those who fear increasing the minimum wage might lead to higher prices for them...

I realize, I support a "living wage" minimum wage precisely because I value human dignity.  It might be nice to save 10 cents on a Latte, but knowing the barista has to work 80 hours to support an independent life...would rather ruin it for me.

It's not just an anti-poverty, program It's a matter of equity.

It follows from a deep understanding of how economies actually work that the incomes people receive is primarily a measure of their power within human society.  The only way that wage workers at the bottom of the higerarchy are going to get a fair wage would be through a class-representative union that had corresponding power to negotiate (such as through a closed shop which is impossible in "right-to-work" states).  Barring that, people at the bottom need a government intervention to keep from literally being starved to death (through the extreme version of the Iron Law of Wages in which people don't get enough to survive...not the employer's problem...they say get another job.)

Possible the best government intervention would somehow enable class-representative and worker-governed unions for all people.

Next perhaps would be full scale wage and price controls.

Finally, the minimum thinking measure, which even the slightest sense of human decency requires, is an independent living supporting minimum wage for all people, and one which is normally limited to 32 hours per week with an absolute maximum of 40 hours per week.

Is this more than some people need?  Perhaps.  But working people should not be forced to share expenses to live...that is yet another form of slavery.

*****

The letter below calling for $15 minimum wage is signed by numerous leading economists, from the near left Dean Baker to the centrist right billionaire Clinton staffer Laura Tyson.  Are there more conservative economists?  Yes, and economic institutes are funded by wealthy people.

Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Fascists have it easy

A great comment by Patroklos at MoonOfAlabama:
nazifasicism is a tool the capitalists use to fight socialism/communism in desperate times.
Ain't that the truth. You can always count on the conservative self-loathing of the masses. This is the edge the right always has over the left. For the left to succeed they have to prepare the ground, while the right is able to exploit the existing terrain untreated. Neoliberal capitalism cocoons us in myths about ourselves and the world: the necessity of work, the independence of the economy from politics, value lies only in economic utility, performance evaluations are accurate measures of who you are and what you're worth, etc, etc. We resist all this and so are encouraged to hate ourselves for our dissent. The left says "the suspicion you feel that this is not how humans should live together is correct. We must turn this suspicion into critique". But this requires time, education, respect, and an appeal to science and humanism. It's like pushing shit uphill. In the meantime the Right have simple tools—ignorance, fear, hate, violence. It's a winning formula. Where's Robespierre when we need him?

Opposed by the only Jew in the Cabinet: the Balfour Declaration


The Balfour Declaration was published on November 2, 1917. In response, on 24 May 1917, the Board of Deputies of British Jews and the Anglo-Jewish Association published a joint manifesto of protest in the London Times which described political Zionism as a threat to Judaism and prophetically predicted that “[it]…would involve them ‘in the bitterest feuds with their neighbours of other races and religions’ and would ‘find deplorable echoes throughout the Orient.’ Similar protests were heard…in France and Italy, but their governments too were now virtually committed to the Zionist cause.” (David Waines, The Unholy Land, op cit., p. 37).
Opposition to the Declaration also came from the only Jewish member of the British Cabinet, Secretary of State for India, Sir Edwin Montagu. He feared that a declaration supporting a Jewish “national home” in Palestine would define Jews as a separate nation and threaten their position in other countries where they were established citizens by raising the question of “divided loyalties.”
While Sir Montagu did not succeed in stopping the Balfour Declaration, he was largely responsible for the section safeguarding “the rights and political status enjoyed by Jews” outside of Palestine.
The Balfour Declaration was also opposed by Gertrude Bell, one of the era’s greatest Arabists, a colleague of T.E. Lawrence (Lawrence of Arabia) and a member of British intelligence in Cairo. Realizing what the Balfour Declaration could (and did) lead to, she wrote the British cabinet of PM Lloyd George advising it that “an independent Jewish Palestine” was impractical because “[Palestine]…is not Jewish;” the native population would not “accept Jewish authority…. Jerusalem is equally sacred to three faiths and should not be put under the exclusive control of any one….” (Sanders, The High Walls of Jerusalem, p. 585)
In discussing the legal basis for the creation of Israel, the highly respected American lawyer and diplomat Sol Linowitz wrote: “…the [Balfour] Declaration was legally impotent. For Great Britain had no sovereign rights over Palestine; it had no proprietary interest; it had no authority to dispose of the land. The Declaration was merely a statement of British intentions and no more.” (Sol M. Linowitz, “Analysis of a Tinderbox: The Legal Basis for the State of Israel.” American Bar Association Journal XLlll l957, pp. 522-3)
Even Chaim Weizmann knew the Declaration had no legal status: “The Balfour Declaration of 1917 was built on air.” (Mallison, “The Balfour Declaration,” in The transformation of Palestine: essays on the Origin and Development of the Arab-Israeli Conflict, ed. by Abu-Lughold; Northwestern University Press, 1971 p. 85)
The Balfour Declaration was the first major achievement of Zionism and the second time in eighteen months the British betrayed the Arabs. Setting aside its abandoned promise in the Hussein-McMahon correspondence to support the independence of Palestine and the fact that the Palestinians had not been consulted, could Britain legally commit itself to support a “home” for Jews in a province of the Ottoman Empire? In fact, it had no such right. “The British government’s promise to use its ‘best endeavours’ to facilitate the Zionist project in Palestine amounted to a promise to give to the Zionists what England did not have, in violation of the established legal maxim Nemo dat quod non habet (nobody can give what he does not possess).” (Adel Safty, From Camp David to the Gulf p. 12)
In discussing the legal basis for the creation of Israel, the highly respected American lawyer and diplomat Sol Linowitz wrote: “…the [Balfour] Declaration was legally impotent. For Great Britain had no sovereign rights over Palestine; it had no proprietary interest; it had no authority to dispose of the land. The Declaration was merely a statement of British intentions and no more.” (Sol M. Linowitz, “Analysis of a Tinderbox: The Legal Basis for the State of Israel.” American Bar Association Journal XLlll l957, pp.522-3)
Importantly, although the Allies managed to have the Balfour Declaration mentioned after World War 1 in the aborted Treaty of Sevres, there is no mention of it in the final treaty that was signed with the Turks at Lausanne on July 24, 1923. This is important in international law because Turkey did not agree to the idea of a “Jewish national home” in Palestine when it surrendered sovereignty to Britain.
Britain decided to send a delegation led by Weizmann to meet with the Arabs to allay their concerns regarding the Balfour Declaration and Zionist designs on Palestine. In June 1918, he visited Sherif Hussein’s son, Prince Faisal near Aqaba and deceitfully assured him that Arab suspicions were caused by either a “fundamental misconception of Zionist aims or the malicious activities of our common enemies.” (Lilienthal, The Zionist Connection, p. 19.)
Weizmann lied further when he assured the prince and Palestinian notables whom he met later, that Zionists were not striving to establish a Jewish government in Palestine (ibid) or “to get hold of the supreme power and administration there.” (Ingrams, Palestine Papers, quoted by Smith, PATAIC, p. 59)
This was the Zionist leader’s first trip to Palestine and he was not prepared for what he encountered. Having previously observed that according to the British, “there are a few hundred thousand negroes [in Palestine], but that is a matter of no significance, …” (Norman Finkelstein, “History’s Verdict”, J of PS #96, Vol. XXIV, summer 1995, p. 33) Weizmann was so overwhelmed by the size and stability of the native population that he feared Arab protests might convince Britain to have second thoughts about the Balfour Declaration.
Weizman’s racism overflowed while opining to Arthur Ruppin on the Palestinian “Negro Problem”: “…a comment by [Chaim] Weizmann to Arthur Ruppin, head of the colonisation department of the Jewish Agency, is particularly revealing. When asked by Ruppin about the Palestinian Arabs and how he (Weizmann) obtained the Balfour Declaration in 1917, Weizmann replied: ‘The British told us that there are some hundred thousand negroes [kushim or schwartzes in Hebrew] and for those there is no value’ ([Yosef] Heller[, Bama’vak Lemedinah, Hamediniyut Hatzionit Bashanim 1936–1948 (The Struggle for the State: The Zionist Policy 1936–1948) (Jerusalem:] 1984:[), p.] 140).” (from page 5 of 60 years after the Nakba by Dr Nur Masalha”
On 16 June 1918, to further assuage the Arabs, Britain issued the British Declaration to the Seven. It confirmed that as previously announced in Baghdad and Jerusalem, “…the future government…should be based upon the principle of the consent of the governed. This policy will always be that of His Majesty’s Government.” (Sami Hadawi, op cit. p. 14.)
Most significant to the Arabs were what proved to be impotent public pledges made by President Wilson. On 18 January 1918, he set forth his famous fourteen points of which number twelve stated that once the war was over, “…[those] nationalities that are [presently] under Turkish rule should be assured an undoubted security of life and an absolutely unmolested opportunity of autonomous development…” (Hadawi, op cit. p.10.)
Needless to say, ultimately the Arabs were betrayed by Britain and with the assistance primarily of the U.S., Jewish Zionists of foreign origin eventually gained control of Palestine and violently dispossessed and expelled about 1,250,000 indigenous Arab inhabitants between late 1947 and 1967.

Another Sanders Victory

Few are pointing out the one unquestionable fact.  Biden, long portrayed in the big CIA media as the far frontrunner, lost very big.  The media and pollsters kept telling us he was the One.  But when his whole record and schtick was finally fully visible to a small set of voters, and they were given a real choice, they didn't like it.

Secondly, the candidate who seemed to share the spotlight with Bernie (and permitting Bernie to continue to be squeezed out of nyt reports) is a relatively weak candidate (except among Dem uber Zionists), and his association with the malfunctioning app doesn't help.  The specter of Corbyn's loss, at least partly caused by Zionists, should be our teaching moment, and certainly doesn't play to Buttigieg's advantage on the left.  A large number of my liberal/left friends favored or at least liked Buttigieg previously.  He seemed to be a progressive, somewhere just behind Warren, but snappier.  After the first acquaintance, I was no longer fooled.

That yet another DNC screw up impacts Bernie negatively, should be a feather in his cap, showing either how much the establishment wants to defeat him, or at least how little they appreciate his success.

3rd party victory is still a far longer shot than Sanders Nomination.  We shouldn't assume that Bernie could even do a 3rd party Presidential candidacy for various technical if not strategic reasons.  I would certainly vote for him either as Democrat or as 3rd party, but I think it's counterproductive to start denouncing him now for not doing the 3rd party now, as it seems to me far too many leftists are already doing.

Majority of voters still identify as Democratic.  If the "screw ups" continue this year might be the end of that.  But it takes a long long long time for people to learn, especially against 24/7 misinformation.

The Iowa caucus should be seen as a Sanders victory, his leading opponents having been exposed as well as defeated by the actual vote count and possibly the delegate count as well.

Tuesday, February 4, 2020

Tactic Two: Delay

When you can't Stop, Delay.

So, we've discovered the first two steps of the Deep State (typlified by CIA, but also the DNC, which seems to share similar viewpoints and possibly more) operations manual.

It does indeed make one wonder about more than just incompetence.  And about all those mishaps that occurred in 2016, curiously all favoring Hillary, according to Caitlin Johnstone.

https://consortiumnews.com/2020/02/05/dnc-loses-public-trust-in-primary-process-on-very-first-day/

I have some personal experience with "Blue" software.  In January 2016, I hosted a Sanders call bank.  I got my own call-in credentials and invited a bunch of people.  One person came who, like me, already had credentials.  Subsequently, no person I tried to register on the call-in day got credentials.  I just got no replies when I requested them, and I tried over and over.  So, with 8 people present, only two could make phone calls.

At the time, I was wondering about digital competence.

Right now, I'm wondering about something very different.

Apparently there were many many incidents in which errors worked to the advantage of Hillary, and none are known in the reverse direction.

https://consortiumnews.com/2020/02/04/buttigieg-backer-top-funder-of-group-behind-iowas-disastrous-voting-app/

"Conspiracy Theorists"

Blogger George Washington cleared the air on "Conspiracy Theories" in 2015.  In 1967 the CIA invented and promoted the use of the label "Conspiracy Theorist" to discredit anyone attacking the "Official Narrative."

In fact, as George points out, conspiracies are VERY common, and the essence of many kinds of criminal behavior, such as "Price Fixing" (which is one of endless kinds of conspiracies).

Secrets are in fact well kept in certain situations, where you have people who are ideological, highly professional, and have a lot of money on the line.  Many secrets now known were kept for decades.

Conspiracy is just one kind of causality, and just like any kind of theory needs to be tested by facts, not blanket dismissal.

Monday, February 3, 2020

Hating Hate?

Discovered some article on Twitter titled "I'm Tired of Hate."

That's pointless.  "Tired of" is another way of saying "hate," so what it really means is "hating hate."

That is, in some small measure, being part of the very thing you despise.  Is that good?

Even if not a self-contradiction, it's pointless.  It does nothing.  Though it's often the wind from Blowhards, Assholes, and Purity testers.  You must be the one saying "I hate foobars!" with the greatest bellicosity, and the least respect for the situation and individuality of those who are like those who create foobars.  Anyone can see, this is not going to make the situation better, unless you are organizing The Crusades, which also proves the point, because those are always pointless too.

The key to reducing hate starts with the first step.  The first step to reducing hate is Understanding Hate.

Purity testers will always say this is attempting to justify it.  They wrap their warp around everything.

However, it is indeed true, and should not be denied, that Understanding is a key part of Love.

So, yes, the answer to hate, the solution to hate, and all that, is as with all things Love.

And I'm not merely being New Agey about this.   It's basic philosophy, almost semantics, repeated by many, including early Christian philosophers.