Friday, February 26, 2021

Woody Allen

 I believe Woody Allen and Soon Yi Previn.  I disbelieve Mia and Ronan Farrow and their decades long attempt at revenge.  (Mia apparently believed she would be a permanent fixture in Woody's movies.  She was terrible, I hated her from the first moment onscreen--she almost ruined the movies she appeared in, and Woody would have never become what he now is--the greatest filmmaker of all time--if he had stuck with her.)  The victims are Woody and Soon Yi--and the rest of the film watching world among others.  The monsters are Mia and Ronan and their lawyer--who must know better.

Here's a great fact and link filled update by a documentary filmmaker Robert Weide.


Wednesday, February 24, 2021

Message to Texas House of Representatives

Starting at 1am on February 15, I experienced 37 hours of mostly 15 minute rolling blackouts (15 minutes on and 15 minutes off) followed by 32 hours of continuous outage.  The rolling blackouts were tolerable, though I think they should have been 30 minutes to allow my heat pump to get fully warmed up, and do other things.  The 32 hour outage in subfreezing weather was terrifying, all the more because of not knowing when it would end and how soon I would be able to boil water after my supply of bottled water ran out.  Roads were icy, gasoline stations closed, and I had very little gasoline in my car so I could not reliably go anywhere or warm up in the car.


Texas energy suppliers and grid have to be weatherized to handle violent and extreme weather conditions.


Texas energy distributors need to be sure of their ability to administer short rolling blackouts over their entire service area when power availability is reduced, and never be forced to have power reduction blackouts longer than 1 hour, with 30 minutes optimal.


Texas should be connected to national grids to be able to obtain electrical energy elsewhere in an emergency.  This would also enable greater development of renewable energy sources in Texas, including wind and solar, which could be sold to other states in normal surplus conditions.  Other states may have resources more suited to electrical energy storage such as hydropower storage, which ought also be developed in Texas as much as possible.  With these changes we could migrate to nearly 100% renewable energy as quickly as possible.  Failure to migrate to renewable energy will make future weather even more violent.

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Solving Texas Electricity

 As AOC has said, the catastrophe in Texas shows what happens when we don't have a Green New Deal.

And it also shows what happens when deregulation reigns.

The best solution to Texas Electricity is submitting to national regulation (including weatherization standards) and joining the the other continental grids to make a unified National Grid that is fully renewable as quickly as possible.

THAT is what needs to be done, and THAT is what needs to be done to help prevent increasing and ever more violent weather catastrophes than Texas saw this time by replacing fossil electricity as fast as possible and demanding others do the same.  Texas itself is in a good position for this, as a large sunny and windy state...with a coastline.  It's only the power of entrenched fossil fuel interests that has been standing in the way.

Renewable electricity works best when there are high requirements for reliability (not just letting the market "price risk") and when there is energy sharing over the widest area.

Where I live, in San Antonio Texas, there may not be opportunities for the most effective proven Electrical Energy Storage, which is hydropower storage (though, other ideas may work).  But solar power is great here, and Texas generally is great for solar energy and wind energy.  So Texas can share it's incredible ability to run wind turbines (only a tiny fraction of which has yet been tapped) and solar panels (even less tapped) and benefit from better hydropower storage, or diverse wind, or tidal, and/or solar energy elsewhere.  Also there is vast potential in Texas itself for tidal and geothermal energy, as well as higher electrical efficiency.

Ultimately, a National Grid offers the best solutions.  A National Grid can best be made based on entirely renewable energy the most quickly.

And that is what we must demand.  If capitalists won't do it we may need to nationalize electricity.


Sunday, February 21, 2021

I hadn't been thinking much about "Public Choice" theory recently, nor it's founder James Buchanan, an economic Nobelist far to the right of Milton Friedman.  (Not to be confused with columnist Pat Buchanan.)  James Buchanan kept a low profile, as it turns out.


About all I remember about "Public Choice" theory was that it was anything but "public choice."  It's about how public choice doesn't work and therefore only the most powerful economically must rule, and how they must seize power by taking over the law.


Anyway, this author ties it into Koch funded think tanks, ALEC, 2/5's of currently serving judges.


https://www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives/blog/meet-the-economist-behind-the-one-percents-stealth-takeover-of-america?fbclid=IwAR2T8t5VWB4wvFJLXTH7uU6bQkq1kDjYjlEH5yQi200pEhgkyVCLFPssyzw



Thursday, February 18, 2021

The "rolling blackouts" fell over

Texas wind power companies were not required to install the "cold weather" package on wind turbines.  That package includes powerful defrosters.  It was wrongly not considered necessary in Texas.

Texas power stations were also not required to have sufficient cold weather preparedness.

Likewise, Texas grid infrastructure.

But hardly noticed by anyone is that the Rolling Blackouts did not roll out very well.  I got rolling blackouts for most of Monday February 15, and they were not fun but tolerable.  I could still get by and get things done.  I was not trembling in the dark in fear.  You could tell these rolling blackouts were deliberate because they lasted 15 minutes on and off, very consistently.  I would have preferred 30 or 60 minutes on/off because I think my heat pump would work better.  In 15 minutes my heat pump has barely warmed up.

But on Tuesday February 16, I got hit with a 31 hour sustained outage.  In below freezing temperatures, high winds, and with no other source of heat.  With no word about restoration.  I couldn't go anywhere, because roads were icy, and even if I did go somewhere, there would be nothing to see except empty store shelves (for any store actually open) and mega expensive motel rooms.  Ultimately, my fairly well insulated home temperature fell to 57 degrees F.  People with drafty homes could see lower inside temperatures.  I heard of one person whose home got to 42 degrees after 14 hours of disconnection.  I survived OK, but if this had kept up for another few days, I don't know what would have happened.

Other people I know didn't experience any rolling blackouts at all.  Just very long and very short outages.

It's clear that however the rolling blackouts were supposed to work, they did not work.

Rolling blackouts should not be necessary, but when they are, they should work.


Wednesday, February 10, 2021

Dear Biden, please reject IHRA definition of antisemitism

Please reject the IHRA definition of antisemitism.  That definition equates fundamental criticism of the State of Israel with antisemitism.  People should be free to criticize any aspect of any particular State, even as to whether or not it should exist.  That is politics, not racism, and it is necessary to have these discussions in the pursuit of justice and peace.


The IHRA itself is antisemitic, by assuming that to be Jewish is to be supportive of the State of Israel.  In fact, until the Holocaust nearly all Jews were anti-Zionist--opposing the creation of a State of Israel, until the arrival of the Messiah.  This was a fundamental interpretation of the Torah for most Jews until the 20th century...and still is for many Jews today.


It is antisemitic to believe Jews (or any other ethnic group) feels categorically one way or the other about anything, including any State.  People have independent minds and come to independent conclusions.


I feel strongly the the State of Israel as it exists now is and was a historical wrong from it's very beginning in the Nabka--the expulsion of 800,000 native Palestinians.  The State of Israel can only be fixed by making it a state for all of its citizens, including Palestinians and Palestinian refugees who lost their homes in the Nabka, and their descendants, on an absolutely equal basis, including the ability to buy and own homes and land.


However, the notion of Israel in the minds of Zionists has become so enmeshed with the idea of being "the Jewish state" that such a state with equality for all--including Palestinians--would "not be Israel" in the minds of most Zionists.


That is why many who originally considered themselves Zionists, in supporting a place where Jews could go and live in peace and equality with Palestinians, now, like me, consider themselves anti-Zionist.


Anti-Zionists include leading organizations such as Jewish Voice for Peace and If Not Now, and leading scholars of many races, including Jewish.


Tuesday, February 9, 2021

Donald Trump must be Convicted

Senator Cornyn,

Trump must be convicted and barred from office.  The House Impeachment Managers did an excellent job today of presenting many very convincing arguments that this trial is not only Constitutional, it is demanded by the Constitution.  I was proud to see such excellent arguments being made in the US Senate.

Donald Trump's attorneys were not convincing at all.   I have read better arguments, but also seen those better arguments debunked.  In addition to what the House Impeachment Managers presented, a very close look is taken by Keith Whittington at LawfareBlog.com:
Can a Former President Be Impeached and Convicted?
A response to Judge Michael Luttig.

I am sad that so many Senators, including you, voted against the trial again.  Many predict that Donald Trump will not be convicted.  If that is to be the outcome, could you at least get him to admit he didn't win the Presidency, and denounce well known groups that took part in the Insurrection like the Proud Boys?

I continue to be available to discuss this issue with my friends in a virtual meeting.

 

Sunday, February 7, 2021

Letter to Senator Cornyn

Dear Senator Cornyn,

All my friends, Democrats and Republicans, condemn the January 6th seditious attack on the US Capitol which occurred while Congress was counting the votes for the next President.  Many individuals and groups involved in that attack were seriously planning to create enough chaos to halt the Constitutional transfer of power.  In both inciting this insurrection, and failing to stop it, Donald Trump violated his oath to defend the US Constitution.

Donald Trump did not make all the seditious plans, but he was ultimately responsible for them in many separate acts, going back even before he became President, when he announced he could shoot someone and get away with it, thereby promoting lawlessness.  Throughout his Presidency he egged on hate and violence, and refused to condemn violence by Christian Fascists when it occurred.  He refused to ever say that if he lost he would concede.  He attempted to interfere in many ways with state elections and the state selection of Electors.  He organized a rally filled with known seditionists, incited it with lies about officially state certified electors being fraudulent and the desire of states to take them back, incited the mob to fight like hell or have no country, and he promised to go with them.  Instead, he watched the violence unfold on TV for 5 hours before calling off his fanatic supporters.

But for the heroic actions of many Capitol Police and Capitol Staff, Donald Trump and his lawless army of seditionists might have succeeded in more than just delaying the transfer of power.   Trump himself failed to call the National Guard or other forces to protect the Capitol when asked.  Bombs had been planted around Washington DC.  In his last months, Trump replaced key government security personnel with loyalists.  After the insurrection, Donald Trump continued to praise his seditious supporters rather than condemning them.

To defend our Constitution, we must do everything we lawfully can to keep Donald Trump and people like him from ever coming to power again.

I have organized a panel of six Texas voters, including one Republican and four Vets, to discuss this issue with you in a virtual meeting at any time.

Thank you.

Saturday, February 6, 2021

Is he guilty?

When asked this question, one is tempted to just say "Really?"

The lead editorial in the NYTimes on January 11 calling for impeachment doesn't start with the events on January 6.  It starts with events before the Election, when DJT was challenging the security of mail in ballots.  With no evidence of failure--and that is a constant in all the DJT's allegations and lawsuits.  They were far out demands regarding process.

Many times DJT was asked if he would accept defeat, and every time he refused to answer to that premise.  He said he would fight.

After leading networks had called the election (which took several days for the NYTimes) DJT refused to concede.  He refused to concede throughout.

He alleged fraud, often by Republican governments.  Many fraud lawsuits were filed.  Most were summarily dismissed for lack of evidence or standing.  One made it to the Supreme Court.  All of dozens of lawsuits ultimately failed.

The States certified their elections and their electors and the States are are authoritative in selecting electors.

Even after the Electoral College votes were official, DJT refused to accept defeat, and instead raised a lot of money to fight more.  He arm twisted state officials to bend the results his way.  He replaced officials he deemed disloyal in the Military and advanced loyalists in their place during his last month in office.

The Administration failed to provide the security requested by others to maintain security during his planned Washington rally.

He organized a rally, which he knew would be attended by violent armed and prepared insurrectionists like the Proud Boys, who had openly promoted insurrection.  He had long failed to say a negative word about many of these white supremacist groups, and continued praising them throughout his administration to the end.  He long had non-existent enforcement against right wing lawbreakers like the Bundy's to maintain their allegiance.

In a fiery speech, Trump told his minions the Election had been stolen (a lie), the States wanted to take back their electors (another lie), and that they must "fight like hell" (and many similar phrases) to save their country.

Meanwhile, cooperative Senators and Representatives continued to echo the evidence free allegations of fraud during the ongoing count, against the interests of other states.  What might have been a quick formal vote was dragged out long enough to be vulnerable to attack.

After promising to lead them down to the Capitol, DJT slinked back to the white house to watch it all on TV.  He let the violence unfold for 5 hours, then called it off (after key victims had not been taken).  He failed to respond to calls for the National Guard and Pence had to make that call.

He never expressed any regrets, and continued to praise the insurrectionists.

People are crazy if they expected DJT to tell his minions exactly how Congress should be attacked.  Things never work that way, top dogs always have "deniability."  Coup forces always know what they are capable of doing, what they need to do, and in this case, they were quite well prepared.

Bombs were planted in the Washington DC area to create further chaos.

There is not much to deny.   He organized the insurrectionists, he knew what kind of people they were and what they were capable of, he incited them with a fiery speech, he failed to accompany them to keep them in line, and he failed to stop them even after lawlessness had begun.

He attempted to overthrow the congressional branch of government while performing its duty of officially counting the Electors to determine the next President.  If he had stopped that important determination with chaos--as has happened in many coups--it would be the end of democratically selected Presidents.  It would be the end of the Constitution itself.  is hard to imagine a crime that is more against the Constitution that DJT was sworn to protect.

Yes it is Constitutional!

The question of whether the Conviction of Ex-President Trump would be Constitutional has already been answered, by the authoritative body--the Senate itself.  The Constitution gives the Senate "sole" authority to try officers impeached by the House.  Whatever the Senate says in these regards, is final.  In an 20th century case involving an impeached administration official, the Supreme Court ruled questions related to Impeachment are not "justiceable," that is, not to be resolved by courts, but only by the Senate itself, as decreed by the Constitution.


AND, the Senate has already "ruled," in an actual bi-partisan vote (a few Republicans) that the trial of DJT by the Senate is Constitutional, and therefore Constitutionally mandated.


Leading Newspapers like the NYTimes and Washington Post Editorialize It is Constitutional (and Necessary).


Many sources say things like "most" or "nearly all" legal scholars agree.  The well known Professor Lawrence Tribe wrote an Op-Ed in the Washington Post (behind their paywall).  Meanwhile, the "legal scholars" who believe it's not Constitutional are retired judges you probably haven't heard of.


It takes a tortured reading of the first Impeachment passage in the Constitution to see how Conviction now might not be Constitutional.  But that passage is merely exclaiming that impeached officers are removed, not that all impeached officers much be removeable.  The second clause discussing impeachment makes it clear there is a second penalty, being barred from future office, that could apply to ex-officers.  That was common in British practice, to convict ex-officers so they could not serve again.  US hasn't impeached enough people for there to be a clear precedent, but the precedents that exist are consistent with this authority.

https://www.lawfareblog.com/can-former-president-be-impeached-and-convicted


Tuesday, February 2, 2021

Pass the Rescue Bill Now

Paul Krugman is at his best taking on Republican bad faith regarding the Rescue Bill in a most excellent column today, backed up with an additional backgrounder to his email list.  

We need to go ahead with the $1.9T House rescue plan now, there is virtually no danger of it being too large and causing inflation, that can be tweaked later with monetary policy, meanwhile the present and greater danger is that it will be too small, and too late for some.

This is not just $1400 checks, this is aid to crumbling state governments which cannot run deficits and are out of cash now, and extending unemployment insurance.

And despite Krugman not previously raising hell over how Democrats dialed back the promised $2000 checks to $1400 by counting the December-passed portion as down payment, though he could have used the same argument (greater danger is that it will be too small...).  Krugman has argued, same as Biden, that the personal check portion is the least important.

Nobody but me seems to notice how means testing the personal checks are based on old data...2019 income...which does not reflect pandemic losses.  Progressives like AOC continue to argue that the payments should be for Everyone (not means tested).  And monthly!  David Sirota has argued that means testing is a another blast of neoliberalism like ACA which makes the Democratic Party less popular.  Sirota also strongly opposed reducing the checks from $2000.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/01/opinion/coronavirus-relief-biden-republicans.html?campaign_id=116&emc=edit_pk_20210202&instance_id=26665&nl=paul-krugman®i_id=79129238&segment_id=50825&te=1&user_id=fbb6bad9421b10ed2f10a9395b938cdd