Monday, August 8, 2022

Pelosi's Visit and WW3

The US initiated the War in Ukraine by backing Neonazis in the Maidan Revolution in 2014.  And that is what most of the people in the world think (including especially China, Russia, India, South America, Africa).

14,000 had died from Kiev shelling the Donbas between 2014-2022,  and then a new round of intense shelling of Donbas began on or before February 22, two days before the Russian invasion amidst plans widely announced by Kiev in 2021 to retake the Donbas and Crimea.  Russia justified their operations on the same doctrine (Right to Protect) ethnic Russians that was used by NATO in Serbia.  IMO, the Russians had truer and better justification, and basically no alternative that had not already been tried many times since 2014 including diplomacy and agreements which the West refused to force Ukraine to honor (probably following US orders anyway).  Under threat from Neonazis, the Ukrainian parliament never passed the provisions required by the Minsk II agreement.

Even the far less justified US/NATO invasions of Iraq, Libya, and Afghanistan did not result in global sanctions against US/NATO.  It may not work that way going forward, btw.  US has possibly shot down it's own currency as global standard by seizing the assets of so many countries now Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, etc.

But anyway, the sanctions seem not to have stopped or slowed Russia one wit, and possibly have already damaged the US and Europe more with far more to come soon without modification because Europe will freeze to death without Russian gas.  AND, my original point, is that it has also destroyed the short-to-medium term energy conversion everywhere, since many of the materials and processes are in Russia and China and their allies.  Not to mention many of the intermediate states (wrongly perhaps, but anyway) reliant on natural gas.  Natural gas is needed to fill in the gaps in renewable energy production because it can be turned on fast.  Eventually we should have that need filled by batteries, but we are not close to that now, and Europe is more down that path and reliant on gas energy.

Thanks in part from restraint from US military high command not matched by the White House, State Department and CIA, WW3 has not yet begun in Ukraine.  But it is a proxy war between US/NATO and Russia, with the situation twisted from the way it was in Syria which was also a proxy war between US/NATO and Russia, that time intermediated by US and allied supported jihadis instead of US and allied supported Neonazis.

I believe Pelosi's visit was strongly encouraged by US oligarchs who increasingly see their "investments" in the East under threat, and wanted to see some "action" by the Biden Administration which is looking "weak" to many.  Pelosi herself is one of those oligarchs.  But it was clearly a provocation, and it seems it has not started WW3 yet, but we shouldn't be cutting these things so close.  The geopolitical result, as in Ukraine, has more exposed US weakness than strength, which is not good for maintaining US hegemony (but the projecting weakness thing is fine by me...I often think that's the best strategy...my cat uses it all the time...).

If anything, it has driven more countries to decide to side with China than the reverse.  And that means siding with Russia too.

When the history of WW3 is written, it may well be dated back to the Maidan Coup of 2014, or the Pelosi visit, etc.

Immediate surrender of global dominance and hegemony would be the best move forward for the US and the world.

Since the attitudes of most westerners are brilliantly shaped by their argumentative but western intelligence controlled major media organizations, this can be presumed not to be possible until complete social breakdown makes that pipeline break.

If necessary change requires complete social breakdown, we must hope to interrupt that breakdown to the Communist program and not the Fascist one.  But that doesn't look easy.

But our previous "Fascist" Trump was unable to control his own foreign policy administration.  That's show how far away we are from the ultimately required breakdown that divergence from being a globally hegemonic "superpower" may ultimately require.

It's not easy to imagine.  But probably the story is that the suffering will increase, with many false attempts in stopping it otherwise.

Where have we seen this before?  Global Heating!

The bottom line is humanity has not solved it's ways of determining how to run things well enough to continue being humanity.



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