Bernie leads among Women and People of Color, and is far and away the leader among voters under 30. Warren's base is older, whiter, male-er, richer, and has more advanced degrees than Sanders base. Biden and Harris do especially poorly among urbanites, the usual Democratic base in every state. Biden loses the non-religious vote hugely compared to the others.
The "Bernie Bros" narrative, created by the media and the Hillary campaign in 2016, was false and no media outlet is even suggesting it this year.
Women do not just reflexively vote for other women, they vote for other women IF they are the better candidate.
Hillary was not that "better" candidate compared to Sanders, she was the worst Democratic candidate in a long time, and associated with tendencies (neoliberal and necon) very much declining in the Democratic Party base after 8 disappointing years and broken promises under Obama. Hillary attempted to win the general election with a mostly negative campaign against the horrors of Trump. Those horrors were at least partly real (except Russiagate, which was fake) but fear is not a good way of turning out a voter base. At least some hope has added to the mix, but somehow hopeful words had gone stale, she lacked the charisma of Obama to orate empty promises, and Hillary was unwilling to sell out her wealthy donor base with real big bold new plans, such as Medicare for All, so fear was the only tool available, and as we know now, the fear played both ways, with many so fed up with the establishment that all the mainstream denunciations were only adding to Trump's popularity, and he was getting endless free air time too. Finally, while Hillary appeared at best technocratic and non-charismatic (and at worst "entitled"), Trump exuded the Capital C Charisma of an old time carnival barker--everyone should know he's lying to them, but some Want to Believe those lies so much they do, especially after paying their money. And unlike Clinton, Trump had bold plans that could be clearly enunciated, if not actually believed without a strong desire to believe: "I will build a Wall, and make Mexico pay for it."
While Russiagate got universal Deep State support as a means of restraining Trump as opposed to necessarily making him lose, it appears at least part of the Deep State landed in Trump's pocket. Hence, the October Surprise from Comey, who previously had been one of the original architects of Russiagate. He was playing both sides by that time, showing the Deep State had a pretty good idea of what was coming, despite the overwhelming Clinton advantage the polls were still showing (with only a few pollsters like Nate Silver being skeptical of the Clinton lead).
The Israel Lobby was also playing both sides, but my November had also come to heavily lean towards Trump, despite all the universal liberal media "anti-semitism" pearl clutching, so you would have hardly expected that Israeli insiders were already cutting deals with future president elect Trump. (Israel-gate IS real.) Jewish voters still leaned heavily toward Clinton, but less so than for any Democratic candidate in a long time. Jewish Orthodox voter preference was 50% for Trump and 21% for Clinton, with 15% refusing to vote for either. The Jewish Orthodox preference harmonizes with other religious groups in which the "most religious" and most traditional groups supported Trump.
The "Bernie Bros" narrative, created by the media and the Hillary campaign in 2016, was false and no media outlet is even suggesting it this year.
Women do not just reflexively vote for other women, they vote for other women IF they are the better candidate.
Hillary was not that "better" candidate compared to Sanders, she was the worst Democratic candidate in a long time, and associated with tendencies (neoliberal and necon) very much declining in the Democratic Party base after 8 disappointing years and broken promises under Obama. Hillary attempted to win the general election with a mostly negative campaign against the horrors of Trump. Those horrors were at least partly real (except Russiagate, which was fake) but fear is not a good way of turning out a voter base. At least some hope has added to the mix, but somehow hopeful words had gone stale, she lacked the charisma of Obama to orate empty promises, and Hillary was unwilling to sell out her wealthy donor base with real big bold new plans, such as Medicare for All, so fear was the only tool available, and as we know now, the fear played both ways, with many so fed up with the establishment that all the mainstream denunciations were only adding to Trump's popularity, and he was getting endless free air time too. Finally, while Hillary appeared at best technocratic and non-charismatic (and at worst "entitled"), Trump exuded the Capital C Charisma of an old time carnival barker--everyone should know he's lying to them, but some Want to Believe those lies so much they do, especially after paying their money. And unlike Clinton, Trump had bold plans that could be clearly enunciated, if not actually believed without a strong desire to believe: "I will build a Wall, and make Mexico pay for it."
While Russiagate got universal Deep State support as a means of restraining Trump as opposed to necessarily making him lose, it appears at least part of the Deep State landed in Trump's pocket. Hence, the October Surprise from Comey, who previously had been one of the original architects of Russiagate. He was playing both sides by that time, showing the Deep State had a pretty good idea of what was coming, despite the overwhelming Clinton advantage the polls were still showing (with only a few pollsters like Nate Silver being skeptical of the Clinton lead).
The Israel Lobby was also playing both sides, but my November had also come to heavily lean towards Trump, despite all the universal liberal media "anti-semitism" pearl clutching, so you would have hardly expected that Israeli insiders were already cutting deals with future president elect Trump. (Israel-gate IS real.) Jewish voters still leaned heavily toward Clinton, but less so than for any Democratic candidate in a long time. Jewish Orthodox voter preference was 50% for Trump and 21% for Clinton, with 15% refusing to vote for either. The Jewish Orthodox preference harmonizes with other religious groups in which the "most religious" and most traditional groups supported Trump.
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