Saturday, January 22, 2022

US/Ukraine/DPR/Crimea/Russia

b nails the January 21 talks, as everything before.


Robert Parry nailed it then, and still, in 2015.


The relevant and most recent broken promises made to Russia.


Caitlin points out the many ironies of the recent US claim that Russia is attempting to engineer a false flag attack on Donbass to look like it was an attack by Kiev.  Previously the US has denounced "false flag" claims as "conspiracy theories."











My opinion?  For starters, cede the Donbass to Russia and let it go, along with Crimea, which endless polls prove had a fair referendum result (much to the error of most disinformed westerners, who despite endlessly being told otherwise, still recite the same old cants).


Update: It appears even the Council on Foreign Relations thinks letting Donbass "go" is an acceptible idea.  It's not what Russians appear to want either.  That originally made me feel like it was the perfect Solomanian solution (which neither side wants) but perhaps not if CFR likes it.

 
I've never been fond of secessionism, so maybe this is a change.  But it seems to me any time a violent overthrow of a government occurs, as in the Maidan Revolution, any region out to be able to secede out by local referendum, just as Crimea has done, and/or join some other entity, with immediate recognition by the global community.

The lack of referendums in western-drawn borders, especially applied to other areas, like the middle east, is striking.  Or, say, the former Yugoslavia.

Perhaps there also ought to be a referendum before any kind of US intervention.  Did Syrians really want US overthrow of the Assad government through direct and indirect US intervention.  Do Afghans really want destructive sanctions and non-recognition to weaken the Taliban?

NATO expansion?  I've long been been for abolishing NATO, and of course not expanding it.

I would never have created NATO in the first place.  It has been just another cog in US Global Domination since then.

It's just an excuse for endless provocation, interference, forced deaths, and military expenditures which are sorely needed elsewhere, especially conversion to green energy.

It's always been based on a paranoid fear of Russia, stoked by deep state media ever since 1945, driven by the US financial empire and it's dependence on Endless War to keep demand sufficiently high without letting people get "lazy" with more civilian programs instead.  At first it was merely a claimed strategy in continuing the existing war spending.  Later it's become the well known institution which owns the west, the Military Industrial Complex (which Eisenhower did as much to build as any President, if not the most) and most certainly this MIC includes western media, despite false notions of a "free media."  It's not free, and guess who owns it.

In this case, NATO threatens EU Europe by promising endless war on Germany's doorstep.  That would be a nice return on previous adventures, say, in Afghanistan (!), as well as the former Yugoslavia.

IF NATO exists at all, it should be only for protecting the central countries we would really defend, and not an excuse for arming peripheral countries for proxy wars and worrisome trip wires--which has been the case since 1991 if not before.

We needed President Henry A Wallace in 1948.  We got on to a wrong path after the deep state selected Truman to replace Wallace on the 1942 ticket.  Truman was never the deep state's first choice--they preferred Republicans--but he pretty much did their bidding, such as the creation of NATO in 1949, but with a few exceptions, toward the end, such as support of Mossadegh.  And so the "bipartisan" foreign policy consensus began, as designed and engineered by people like Allen Dulles, who pushed both Nixon and Eisenhower into their jobs for his ends: Global Financial Empire!  And controlled the state so closely after than that every diplomat, spook, President and Senator knows they can be JFK'ed for even the slightest free thinking.  A tower of idiocy, and a parody of the tower of wealth--not so idiotic in the short run.

I have one of Zizek's books, I've considered him somewhat unreadable.  I should have been thinking Revisionist or Trot.  He wrote a glorification of the Ukranian Revolution that was published in The Guardian which I don't think has aged well.  But it presents the most positive view possible, I think, of the anti-Russian position without doing what friends of mine tend to do, which is to intone EVIL PUTIN over and over.  But Zizek isn't much different from that, either.  He utters not a word about the most violent and destructive empire in the world today, instead considering it's eastern division, which includes NATO, the epitome of civilization.

n a 1996 book playing the same role in his life as Eisenhower's "Military Industrial Complex" speech (ie a warning about the monster he himself had created), Cold War senior architect George Kennan decried Russophobia as it has been present ever since (ever since his creating it in the 1940's):

QUOTE

“I find the view of the Soviet Union that prevails today in large portions of our governmental and journalistic establishments so extreme, so subjective, so far removed from what any sober scrutiny of external reality would reveal, that it is not only ineffective but dangerous as a guide to political action.

“This endless series of distortions and oversimplifications; this systematic dehumanization of the leadership of another great country; this routine exaggeration of Moscow’s military capabilities and of the supposed iniquity of Soviet intentions: this monotonous misrepresentation of the nature and the attitudes of another great people – and a long-suffering people at that, sorely tried by the vicissitudes of this past century; this ignoring of their pride, their hopes – yes, even of their illusions (for they have their illusions, just as we have ours, and illusions too, deserve respect); this reckless application of the double standard to the judgment of Soviet conduct and our own, this failure to recognize, finally, the communality of many of their problems and ours as we both move inexorably into the modern technological age: and the corresponding tendency to view all aspects of the relationship in terms of a supposed total and irreconcilable conflict of concerns and of aims; these, I believe, are not the marks of the maturity and discrimination one expects of the diplomacy of a great power; they are the marks of an intellectual primitivism and naivety unpardonable in a great government. I use the word naivety, because there is the naivety of cynicism and suspicion, just as there is the naivety of innocence.

“And we shall not be able to turn these things around as they should be turned, on the plane of military and nuclear rivalry, until we learn to correct these childish distortions – until we correct our tendency to see in the Soviet Union only a mirror in which we look for the reflection of our own virtue – until we consent to see there another great people, one of the world’s greatest, in all its complexity and variety, embracing the good with the bad, a people whose life, whose views, whose habits, whose fears and aspirations, whose successes and failures, are the products, just as ours are the products, not of any inherent iniquity but of the relentless discipline of history, tradition, and national experience. If we insist on demonizing these Soviet leaders – on viewing them as total and incorrigible enemies, consumed only with their fear and hatred of us and dedicated to nothing other than our destruction – that, in the end, is the way we shall assuredly have them, if for no other reason than that our view of them allows for nothing else, either for them or for us.”

END QUOTE

Source (with more good stuff):



Monday, December 27, 2021

The US seeks to Destabilize Russia

The US is not trying to leverage Ukraine to invade Russia.

What the US wants to do, and nearly always has done, is destabilize and then coup with a puppet regime.

The US wants to replace Putin with another US puppet like Yeltsin.

Creating instability within and all around Russia appears to be the way the US plans to do this.

Instability has other benefits for the US: it makes other countries feel they need US protection.  And of course it's good for the Military Industrial Complex.

Quoting from the article linked below:

"The US and Europe have been confronting Russia over Ukraine for some time. US intelligence claimed that Russia could "invade Ukraine" as soon as early 2022, while Russian President Vladimir Putin accused NATO of planning to deploy missile systems in Ukraine that could strike Moscow within minutes..."

"But the US is continuously escalating tensions in Eastern Ukraine. Since the beginning of this year, the US has sent strategic bombers, including B-52s and B-1Bs to approach areas such as Black Sea. In November, the US sent strategic bombers and conducted simulated nuclear strikes against Russia, and entered airspace 20 kilometers away from Russian border, in an obviously provocative move. In addition, Washington released information such as it would impose economic sanctions on Russia and deploy more troops in Eastern Europe to pile on maximum pressure. It is like throwing matches onto dry firewood from time to time, but avoiding the flames deliberately. To the US, the more tense the Ukraine situation becomes, the more European countries will depend on the US. Setting up a common enemy among NATO is conducive to uniting allies. Washington is the biggest beneficiary of this dangerous game."

Monday, November 29, 2021

Population Collapse vs Population Adjustment

 A friend send this alarmist screed on declining birth rates in USA.

I replied:

"Population collapse" is not what happens when birth rates decline but remain above 0.5 children per couple.  That's "population adjustment" which can help curb carbon emissions, water depletion, and other looming catastrophes.

"Population collapse" is what happens when we fail to do population adjustment fast enough, and central North American becomes useless for human agriculture and settlement.


Sunday, November 21, 2021

Bans on Computer Chip sales are Destructive

Tonight, listening to the CODEPINK presentation on Taiwan and China featuring Carl Zha I learned a lot about the history of Taiwan, China, Japan, and the US going back to the Ming dynasty.  Much more complicated than I had imagined.

But in some additional commentary after the main presentation, I learned these things about the Computer Chips situation.

1) Trump banned the sale of chips made in Taiwan to China.  Since Taiwan is the worlds largest manufacturer of computer chips, but China is the worlds largest manufacturer of finished goods, you can see how this would be a problem.

2) Trump also banned the sale of computer chips made in China to the USA.  Nowadays China is also a big manufacturer of computer chips.

I believe we should end destructive bans on the sales of computer chips from Taiwan and China.  We should also seek a more peaceable relationship with China.  Even rolling the clock back to 2010 in these regards would be a big step forwards.


National Endowment for Democracy

A US expat friend of mine (he left USA in the 1980's) repeats endless well known and debunked myths about Cuba, Russia, and the People's Republic of China.  But he has inside information, he says, from expats from other countries including China, which is obviously (to him) superior to mine.  He also recounts stories he has heard from such expats, and limited personal experiences in places like Cuba as proof of his assertions.

Any such stories and experiences are subject to a huge sampling error.   Stories from expats should in no way considered to be "representative" of their home country, simply on first principles, that most people of those countries are not expats.  (Or tourists, etc, that you are likely to meet.)  Likewise one's own experiences are highly biased by one's own views and those one knows--a self-selecting sample--and how one gets into said country and for what reasons--all of which are surely unrepresentative of the people there.  Even firsthand experiences ought to be considered first and foremost as anecdotal evidence and it is wrong to extrapolate from them and say things like "People in Cuba feel..." 

But there's more.  In addition to being not-very-representative on first principles, such individuals or groups to which they belong or attend may be part of or associated with well known regime change organizations, like the NED.

Shockingly to me, my friend had no idea what I meant by NED.  I meant the "National Endowment for Democracy."  So I searched for and found this classic article from a classic book:

https://williamblum.org/chapters/rogue-state/trojan-horse-the-national-endowment-for-democracy

Thursday, November 18, 2021

Academic Diversity and Free Speech

 An interesting discussion, but no clear answers, not even clear questions.

https://timothyburke.substack.com/p/academia-viewpoint-diversity-not?r=87eex&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=

I think there is a contingency here.  Things we might otherwise not need to discuss, we may need to have a dialog about because they actually exist, and their supporters see them in different terms.

As another new person I follow says, we do not need to consider many things on an equal basis.  We can dismiss discussion about whether racism or racial supremacism should exist.  Racism and racial supremacism are clearly bad things.  Do we need to discuss whether white nationalism is racial supremacism?  I don't think so, I think it clearly is.  But that may be where the dialog would start, because white nationalism clearly exists--people self-identify as that label.  A lot of people.

I think that if Israel did not exist, we could dismiss discussions about whether a settler colonial apartheid state should be created in Palestine.  Settler colonial apartheid states are a bad idea.  But Israel does exist, and since some do not see it in those terms, perhaps some of us need to have a dialog about it, sometimes.

"Dialog" should not include threats, tiki torches, smashing windows, or violence, though sometimes it does.  It is not beyond the pale for dialog to include racist speech as well as false accusations of racism--because dialog is the place to argue about such things.  (That means, dialog may include both what some regard as antisemitism and what others regard as false accusations of anti-semitism.)

Dialog may include non-violent protest and heckling.

Dialog may include boycotts and divestment.

Dialog (even without threats, etc) isn't always appropriate, and some dialogs should indeed be beyond the pale in education and media.  But that is not applicable to the 12 versions of pro- and anti- Zionism that Timothy Burke identifies.  These are all taken seriously by some serious scholars.

Wednesday, November 17, 2021

Sanctions are Behind the Crisis in Belarus

Belarus is back in the news today, with stories that Belarussian authorities are enabling middle eastern migrants (refugees?) to cross into Poland and other NATO countries.  Poland is extremely anti-ME-refugee and hugh clashes ensure.  Hard Winter is coming.

Without context, little of this makes any sense.  What are ME migrants doing in Belarus???

So I looked up what MoonOfAlabama had to say on the subject.  His last essay was from a month ago.

Basically, because of new sanctions against Belarus last year, which preventing the airline from flying to any western european cities, the airline has gone looking for new customers, and what do you know, there are large numbers of Syrians and Iraqi's in Turkey still able to pay the price for a ticket to Belarus, keeping the airline going, and Turkey is not part of the EU, so no sanctions.

Coincidentally, last night I'd stumbled upon a movie, The Weight of Chains, made in Canada in 2011 making an even better case for the role of sanctions and other western policies in the violent breakup of Yugoslavia.  Top of the list of those who should have died in the Hague for crimes in the Former Yugoslavia should have been Reagan, GHW Bush, and Clinton (just as Milosevic said).  Outline starting in the 1980's, crushing IMF debt deliberately used as wedge by Reagan to destroy "Communism" (actually social democracy, but not aligned with US empire) in Yugoslavia.  Any province that defects gets immediate recognition by the US as a sovereign state, forgiveness of debt, and US markets.  Well of course this sets off ethnofascists everywhere to define their new "nation" and secede.  The Bosnian Muslim leader was as bad as any of them.  The west focuses on one oversized retaliatory strike which could be blamed on Serbians (aligned with Russia), instead of the whole picture--which was more than an order of magnitude larger.  Other crimes brushed off.  I downloaded the HD version which is much better than the one on Youtube.  I've never heard the breakup story told this well, even though I've heard this basic outline (the west was at fault) for almost 20 years from most leftists I respect, I never understood it.  I imagine most in the west haven't heard this version at all.  The success of the movie was sufficient the producer made two on different anti-western-imperialism topics, which I haven't yet checked out.

Back to Moon's essay last month on Belarus, I'd endorse all of it except the last sentence, which sounds like wishful thinking.