Saturday, January 22, 2022
US/Ukraine/DPR/Crimea/Russia
Monday, December 27, 2021
The US seeks to Destabilize Russia
The US is not trying to leverage Ukraine to invade Russia.
What the US wants to do, and nearly always has done, is destabilize and then coup with a puppet regime.
The US wants to replace Putin with another US puppet like Yeltsin.
Creating instability within and all around Russia appears to be the way the US plans to do this.
Instability has other benefits for the US: it makes other countries feel they need US protection. And of course it's good for the Military Industrial Complex.
Quoting from the article linked below:
"The US and Europe have been confronting Russia over Ukraine for some time. US intelligence claimed that Russia could "invade Ukraine" as soon as early 2022, while Russian President Vladimir Putin accused NATO of planning to deploy missile systems in Ukraine that could strike Moscow within minutes..."
"But the US is continuously escalating tensions in Eastern Ukraine. Since the beginning of this year, the US has sent strategic bombers, including B-52s and B-1Bs to approach areas such as Black Sea. In November, the US sent strategic bombers and conducted simulated nuclear strikes against Russia, and entered airspace 20 kilometers away from Russian border, in an obviously provocative move. In addition, Washington released information such as it would impose economic sanctions on Russia and deploy more troops in Eastern Europe to pile on maximum pressure. It is like throwing matches onto dry firewood from time to time, but avoiding the flames deliberately. To the US, the more tense the Ukraine situation becomes, the more European countries will depend on the US. Setting up a common enemy among NATO is conducive to uniting allies. Washington is the biggest beneficiary of this dangerous game."
Monday, November 29, 2021
Population Collapse vs Population Adjustment
A friend send this alarmist screed on declining birth rates in USA.
I replied:
"Population collapse" is not what happens when birth rates decline but remain above 0.5 children per couple. That's "population adjustment" which can help curb carbon emissions, water depletion, and other looming catastrophes.
"Population collapse" is what happens when we fail to do population adjustment fast enough, and central North American becomes useless for human agriculture and settlement.
Sunday, November 21, 2021
Bans on Computer Chip sales are Destructive
Tonight, listening to the CODEPINK presentation on Taiwan and China featuring Carl Zha I learned a lot about the history of Taiwan, China, Japan, and the US going back to the Ming dynasty. Much more complicated than I had imagined.
But in some additional commentary after the main presentation, I learned these things about the Computer Chips situation.
1) Trump banned the sale of chips made in Taiwan to China. Since Taiwan is the worlds largest manufacturer of computer chips, but China is the worlds largest manufacturer of finished goods, you can see how this would be a problem.
2) Trump also banned the sale of computer chips made in China to the USA. Nowadays China is also a big manufacturer of computer chips.
I believe we should end destructive bans on the sales of computer chips from Taiwan and China. We should also seek a more peaceable relationship with China. Even rolling the clock back to 2010 in these regards would be a big step forwards.
National Endowment for Democracy
A US expat friend of mine (he left USA in the 1980's) repeats endless well known and debunked myths about Cuba, Russia, and the People's Republic of China. But he has inside information, he says, from expats from other countries including China, which is obviously (to him) superior to mine. He also recounts stories he has heard from such expats, and limited personal experiences in places like Cuba as proof of his assertions.
Any such stories and experiences are subject to a huge sampling error. Stories from expats should in no way considered to be "representative" of their home country, simply on first principles, that most people of those countries are not expats. (Or tourists, etc, that you are likely to meet.) Likewise one's own experiences are highly biased by one's own views and those one knows--a self-selecting sample--and how one gets into said country and for what reasons--all of which are surely unrepresentative of the people there. Even firsthand experiences ought to be considered first and foremost as anecdotal evidence and it is wrong to extrapolate from them and say things like "People in Cuba feel..."
But there's more. In addition to being not-very-representative on first principles, such individuals or groups to which they belong or attend may be part of or associated with well known regime change organizations, like the NED.
Shockingly to me, my friend had no idea what I meant by NED. I meant the "National Endowment for Democracy." So I searched for and found this classic article from a classic book:
https://williamblum.org/chapters/rogue-state/trojan-horse-the-national-endowment-for-democracy
Thursday, November 18, 2021
Academic Diversity and Free Speech
An interesting discussion, but no clear answers, not even clear questions.
I think there is a contingency here. Things we might otherwise not need to discuss, we may need to have a dialog about because they actually exist, and their supporters see them in different terms.
As another new person I follow says, we do not need to consider many things on an equal basis. We can dismiss discussion about whether racism or racial supremacism should exist. Racism and racial supremacism are clearly bad things. Do we need to discuss whether white nationalism is racial supremacism? I don't think so, I think it clearly is. But that may be where the dialog would start, because white nationalism clearly exists--people self-identify as that label. A lot of people.
I think that if Israel did not exist, we could dismiss discussions about whether a settler colonial apartheid state should be created in Palestine. Settler colonial apartheid states are a bad idea. But Israel does exist, and since some do not see it in those terms, perhaps some of us need to have a dialog about it, sometimes.
"Dialog" should not include threats, tiki torches, smashing windows, or violence, though sometimes it does. It is not beyond the pale for dialog to include racist speech as well as false accusations of racism--because dialog is the place to argue about such things. (That means, dialog may include both what some regard as antisemitism and what others regard as false accusations of anti-semitism.)
Dialog may include non-violent protest and heckling.
Dialog may include boycotts and divestment.
Dialog (even without threats, etc) isn't always appropriate, and some dialogs should indeed be beyond the pale in education and media. But that is not applicable to the 12 versions of pro- and anti- Zionism that Timothy Burke identifies. These are all taken seriously by some serious scholars.
Wednesday, November 17, 2021
Sanctions are Behind the Crisis in Belarus
Belarus is back in the news today, with stories that Belarussian authorities are enabling middle eastern migrants (refugees?) to cross into Poland and other NATO countries. Poland is extremely anti-ME-refugee and hugh clashes ensure. Hard Winter is coming.
Without context, little of this makes any sense. What are ME migrants doing in Belarus???
So I looked up what MoonOfAlabama had to say on the subject. His last essay was from a month ago.
Basically, because of new sanctions against Belarus last year, which preventing the airline from flying to any western european cities, the airline has gone looking for new customers, and what do you know, there are large numbers of Syrians and Iraqi's in Turkey still able to pay the price for a ticket to Belarus, keeping the airline going, and Turkey is not part of the EU, so no sanctions.
Coincidentally, last night I'd stumbled upon a movie, The Weight of Chains, made in Canada in 2011 making an even better case for the role of sanctions and other western policies in the violent breakup of Yugoslavia. Top of the list of those who should have died in the Hague for crimes in the Former Yugoslavia should have been Reagan, GHW Bush, and Clinton (just as Milosevic said). Outline starting in the 1980's, crushing IMF debt deliberately used as wedge by Reagan to destroy "Communism" (actually social democracy, but not aligned with US empire) in Yugoslavia. Any province that defects gets immediate recognition by the US as a sovereign state, forgiveness of debt, and US markets. Well of course this sets off ethnofascists everywhere to define their new "nation" and secede. The Bosnian Muslim leader was as bad as any of them. The west focuses on one oversized retaliatory strike which could be blamed on Serbians (aligned with Russia), instead of the whole picture--which was more than an order of magnitude larger. Other crimes brushed off. I downloaded the HD version which is much better than the one on Youtube. I've never heard the breakup story told this well, even though I've heard this basic outline (the west was at fault) for almost 20 years from most leftists I respect, I never understood it. I imagine most in the west haven't heard this version at all. The success of the movie was sufficient the producer made two on different anti-western-imperialism topics, which I haven't yet checked out.