Tuesday, December 6, 2022

Chickenfeed

The term Chickenfeed was introduced by former spy Jean Le Carre in his novel Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy to refer to the bits of true information included in a cache of misinformation in order to make the misinformation seem real.  This true information is presumably of far less consequence compared to the desired misinformation (which might not be believed anyway).

When some "journalist" or blogger delivers apparently true information combined with obvious crap, and if this is deliberate, then apparently the true information is the Chickenfeed which is intended to make the crap more believable.

This seems to apply to a whole host of websites which combine information about the war in Ukraine with Anti-vax misinformation.

By this analysis, the Anti-vax misinformation is the product being sold.  The Chickenfeed is the info about the war in Ukraine, which often looks to be at least partly true if not more.

So why are so many bloggers enamored of Anti-vax misinformation, which often falls apart quickly if you have the least understanding of things like Bayes Theorem.

A lot of this may be that the bloggers are simply believing and reporting things that come to them from their preferred sources.  The tying of war info and vaccine misinformation could be occurring "upstream" say in Russian or Chinese intelligence agencies.  They might have specific goals, such as creating more chaos or upending certain western politicians.  (I don't know that Russia does this, but it's certain that America does it in a big way (and not just through disinformation--though that is one of the most used methods) and it's at least plausible that Russia and China would try their hand at this also.)

Both China and Russia have their own vaccines and vaccination programs and are not Anti-vax governments as such.  Putin has claimed that Russia does not mandate that people take vaccines.  However that is misleading, as individual Russian cities and regions do that.

While western medicine is not crap free, vaccines are by far the least crappy part of western medicine because the essence of it is quite simple (Ancient Greeks had the idea first), subjected to massive pre-use controlled testing, and then further tested in usage by millions or billions of people.

OTOH, it's not possible to test most medical procedures quite as rigorously because it's impossible to do "controlled" experiments with "blind" testing.

Generally, the people who have been opposed to vaccine use going back 100 years are those who have fake cures to sell instead.


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